Can Genetics help unravel the Afroasiatic cradle? MahE9 BEN HAMED1,2, LounE8s CHIKHI3 and Pierre DARLU2 1 Laboratoire Dynamique du Langage, UMR5596, Lyon, France 2 GE9nE9tique EpidE9miologique et Structure des populations humaines, U535, Villejuif, France 3 UMR Evolution et DiversitE9 Biologique, Toulouse, France Mahe.Ben-Hamed@ish-lyon.cnrs.fr The location of the Afroasiatic cradle and the routes of expansion of this linguistic family have long been debated. Two scenarios compete. The first scenario (Militarev et al., 1992) connects the history of this linguistic family with the expansion of the major Eurasian linguistic phyla which are themselves thought to have been brought during the agriculturalist revolution in the Near-East about 10-13,000 years ago. This scenario is supported by the Russian linguistic school and the Nostratic tenants who consider the Afroasiatic is related to the Nostratic macro-family. .On the contrary, afrasian historical linguists support a second scenario where the Afro-Asiatic is thought to have originated in eastern Lower Nubia and to be at least 15,000 years old (Ehret, 1979, 1995). It has been difficult to clearly demonstrate the superiority of any of the two scenarios as tenants from both sides have sometimes used the same methodologies to reach opposite conclusions. Moreover, some of the methodologies used such as linguistic palaeontology and glottochronology are often criticised among the linguistic community. One possible explanation for obtaining such paradoxical conclusions is that there might be methodological deficiencies in the way the issue is handled (Ben Hamed and Darlu, 2003). The debate is thus left wide open, and it remains as topical now as it was when Afro-Asiatic was first established as a linguistic phylum, at the beginning of the 20th Century (Cohen, 1924). Given the existing controversy among linguists and the scarcity of archaeological data to solve the Afroasiatic homeland puzzle (McCall, 1998), it is legitimate to ask whether genetic data could be as useful as it has been on similar issues on other linguistic groups. In a research context favouring multidisciplinary approaches, reconciling the three approaches would certainly be a significant improvement. . Currently, the Anatolian scenario is probably the most appealing for it is both synthetic and parsimonious. It provides a powerful explanation for the expansion of this and other linguistic families. Indeed, a demic diffusion scenario starting in the same region is becoming increasingly supported in the case of Indo-European and some of the other Nostratic branches. If confirmed this would identify the Fertile Crescent as the cradle of the neighbouring linguistic diversity, and the demic diffusion model as a paradigm for the study of populations92 evolution in these regions at least. In the present talk we will take an indirect approach to the problem, which cannot on its own answer the whole cradle issue, but which can test the consistency of the genetic data with specific linguistic scenarios. Both scenarios imply migratory events. Correlatively, in the demic model of a linguistic family expansion, admixture patterns between the migrating people and the local demes are expected. Provided appropriate parental hypotheses 96 i.e. which population represents the migratory wave, and which will represent the substratum submitted to admixture- it is possible to infer admixture patterns from the observed genetic frequencies of present-day populations. We confront here different admixture methods relying on different assumptions in order to embrace all the evolutionary forces that can shape the admixture profile of the populations under study (Chikhi et al., 2001; Bertorelle and Excoffier, 1998; Wijsman, 1984). The profiles thus obtained are confronted with each of the scenarios proposed for Afro-asiatic. Bibliography: Ben Hamed M., Darlu P. Origine et Expansion de l92afro-asiatiqueA0: mE9thodologie pour une approche pluridisciplinaire. Bulletins et ME9moires de la SociE9tE9 d92Anthropologie de Paris, n.s., t. 15, 2003, 1-2, (in press). Bertorelle G, Excoffier L. Inferring admixture proportions from molecular data. Mol Biol Evol., 1998 Oct; 15(10):1298-311. Chikhi L, Bruford MW, Beaumont MA., Estimation of admixture proportions: a likelihood-based approach using Markov chain Monte Carlo. Genetics, 2001 Jul; 158(3):1347-62. Cohen M., Les langues chamito-sE9mitiques, in Meillet A., Cohen M. (eds), Les Langues du monde, Paris. 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